Check out this pic
The question it begs is “How much uncertainty is allowably present when policy makers have to set priorities for public safety?”
http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pubs/westerinketal_bams_ref1935b.pdf, was suggested as an example of predictive capacity that was known. Did it offer leadership an opportunity to avoid the current levels of distruction and death?
Is there adequate delivery of information to policy leadership?
Hurricanes are something we have records on to 1850s. Yet the relationships between water and air that are critical to their existance have only been getting serious study over the last forty or so years. What are the critical elements that will reduce uncertainty? What is missing that would make a difference in the next decade?
Should resources be reallocated within basic science to accelerate this progress?